Four Must storylines to follow during Bruins’ second-half run to the playoffs

For all of the talk of a bridge year or a wild-card slot awaiting the 2023-24 Bruins, Jim Montgomery’s club has quieted said discourse in short order.

Boston is already past the midway mark of the 2023-24 season — with a revamped roster sitting atop the Eastern Conference with a 31-9-9 record.

But with the All-Star break standing as the unofficial starting gate before a frantic 33-game second half, Boston’s de-facto bye week stands as an ideal time to reassess an overachieving team looking to pen a better ending than last year’s record-setting bunch.

Here’s a look at four things to follow during the final months of the 2023-24 Bruins regular season.

Can the Bruins’ scoring surge continue?

The Bruins underwent one of the most significant talent drains in recent memory this past offseason.

In the span of a few months, Boston lost key cogs in Patrice Bergeron, David Krejci, Taylor Hall, Tyler Bertuzzi, Dmitry Orlov, Nick Foligno, Connor Clifton and others through retirement, trades, and free agency.

It was a group that accounted for 210 total points last season, with Don Sweeney ultimately retooling Boston’s forward corps with internal options, rookies, and a bevy of bargain-bin signings.

The writing was on the wall that Boston’s offense was doomed to regress. But through 49 games, the Bruins are still sixth in the NHL at 3.49 goals scored per game.

That impressive ranking has largely been a byproduct of an extended surge in offense for the Bruins since the holiday break. In 17 games since Christmas, the Bruins are leading the league at 4.29 goals scored per game.

A potent power play (operating at 26 percent this season) has often been the conduit that has sparked Boston’s offense in the past. But the Bruins are also landing plenty of punches at 5v5 play, with Boston fifth in the league with 110 5v5 tallies this winter.

It should come as little surprise that Boston’s big guns up front like David Pastrnak (33 goals, 72 points) and Brad Marchand (24 goals, 47 points) are leading the charge.

But Boston’s extended scoring salvo has coincided with several key cogs like Charlie Coyle (eight goals, 21 points in last 17 games), Jake DeBrusk (eight goals, 14 points in 16 games), Trent Frederic (seven goals, 15 points in 17 games) and Morgan Geekie (three goals, 11 points in 17 games) all heating up.

We know what a superstar talent like Pastrnak can do whenever he hops over the boards. But if players like Coyle, Frederic, and DeBrusk can continue to drive play and find twine all across the lineup, Boston’s high-powered offense will be tough to snuff out.

Can the Bruins’ defense tighten up?

Montgomery and the Bruins will welcome this boost in scoring down the stretch.

But if Boston has its sights set on a deep playoff run, it’s going to need to rely on its goalies and stingy zone defense to keep it afloat during the punishment that awaits in the spring.

The baseline stats are pretty encouraging, with Boston fourth in the NHL in goals against per game at 2.59.

But a peek under the hood reveals a defense chock full of talent that is still prone to giving up way too many quality chances in front of both Linus Ullmark and Jeremy Swayman.

Montgomery has zeroed in on Boston’s shortcomings with defending rush chances this season, but their miscues at the netfront have often made Ullmark and Swayman put out far too many fires at their doorstep.

“We still need to get better at boxing out around our net and covering the slot, because our goaltenders are being asked to make too many good saves,” Montgomery noted on Saturday.

Add in a usually stout PK that has been rendered mortal as of late (73.4 percent over last 22 games), and the Bruins have some worth to do when it comes to cleaning up what should be a foundational strength of this team.

Will the goalie rotation continue?

Montgomery has not steered away from a goalie rotation this season, even acknowledging back in November that he’d be comfortable carrying that 50/50 split into the postseason.

It’s one thing to preach it in November. It’s another thing to carry it out in crunch time during April and May. But so far, Montgomery hasn’t altered his plans, with Swayman’s slight uptick in reps (26 starts to Ullmark’s 23) largely a byproduct of Ullmark’s lower-body ailment that sidelined him for over a week in January.

It will take plenty of conviction from Montgomery to keep this rotation in place during the playoffs — especially if one of Ullmark or Swayman either posts a sub-standard showing or records a 30-plus save shutout.

Swayman is currently on pace for 44 starts this season. That would be five more than his previous career-high, but far from a taxing workload for a young netminder poised to earn the nod in Game 1 of a first-round series.

What will Don Sweeney do at the trade deadline?

Sweeney and Boston’s top brass have a history of being aggressive at the deadline, especially when Boston has positioned itself as a top contender.

But just how active will the Bruins be before the March 8 deadline? The case can be made that Boston would benefit from the addition of another middle-six winger or minutes-eating blueliner, especially one capable of adding some heft before the start of the playoffs.

But several factors are working against Boston this season when it comes to Sweeney and Co. landing a big fish during the deadline feeding frenzy.

Several years of win-now moves have depleted Boston’s draft cupboard, with the Bruins only selecting in the first round twice over the past six years.

The Bruins relinquished their 2024 first-round pick last year in their trade with Detroit for Tyler Bertuzzi, and will not be on the clock in the 2024 NHL Draft until the fourth round.

Even if Boston was desperate enough to part ways with its 2025 first-round pick and a blue-chip prospect like Matthew Poitras or Mason Lohrei, the Bruins also don’t have a lot of fiscal flexibility. 

As tempting as it might be for Boston to go out and add another impact player to a first-place roster, it seems like the Bruins are better positioned to add a fourth-line bruiser or a depth defenseman for the stretch run — rather than a top-four blueliner or 20-goal-scoring talent.

Of course, plenty can happen between now and March 8.

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